Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.437211 0.515005 0.600724 0.701922 0.817854 0.946229 1.098854
2024-10-06 0.341364 0.450084 0.581766 0.751796 0.964187 1.219289 1.547277
2024-10-13 0.256923 0.374805 0.530051 0.746665 1.037802 1.411846 1.924371
2024-10-20 0.198587 0.317407 0.486010 0.737754 1.098032 1.587928 2.295593
2024-10-27 0.157857 0.274282 0.451005 0.731239 1.154894 1.759776 2.673600
2024-11-03 0.132434 0.248108 0.434572 0.746301 1.240474 1.976079 3.130293
2024-11-10 0.111453 0.224255 0.416640 0.754382 1.313511 2.177727 3.580448
2024-11-17 0.094047 0.202658 0.398097 0.757308 1.376355 2.366796 4.024662
2024-11-24 0.081280 0.186800 0.386392 0.769041 1.453017 2.581906 4.524229
2024-12-01 0.069714 0.170730 0.371352 0.771972 1.513524 2.774045 4.999726
2024-12-08 0.057028 0.149421 0.342581 0.745007 1.517187 2.869861 5.321753
2024-12-15 0.051560 0.142867 0.341965 0.771292 1.619263 3.140790 5.956709
2024-12-22 0.046048 0.135265 0.338470 0.792386 1.715667 3.412925 6.620301
2024-12-29 0.043228 0.133731 0.347922 0.841320 1.870740 3.802889 7.519826
2025-01-05 0.036873 0.121523 0.331380 0.832957 1.911567 3.986421 8.062408
2025-01-12 0.031374 0.110191 0.314828 0.822034 1.945439 4.158592 8.595013
2025-01-19 0.026910 0.100605 0.300730 0.814409 1.984668 4.342797 9.160721
2025-01-26 0.024175 0.095541 0.297173 0.830773 2.076470 4.635926 9.951248
2025-02-02 0.021468 0.089822 0.290871 0.839574 2.152215 4.901936 10.705472
2025-02-09 0.018907 0.083844 0.282783 0.842754 2.215352 5.146301 11.431705
2025-02-16 0.016985 0.079570 0.278739 0.855631 2.301721 5.444230 12.281901
2025-02-23 0.015012 0.074490 0.271404 0.858844 2.365522 5.698706 13.058895
2025-03-02 0.012464 0.066255 0.252875 0.829215 2.347425 5.776326 13.477579